SnoCal January - Its Snowtime

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SnoCal January - Its Snowtime

Postby cheapski » Sat Jan 05, 2013 10:37 am

Someone come up with something witty using "January". Anyway, let's get this shew on the road. There's another cold one on our doorstep for tonight.

STILL LOOKS TO BE A HIGH POP/LOW QPF TYPE OF
SYSTEM WITH PRECIP TOTALS GENERALLY ONE HALF INCH OR LESS. THE ONE
TRICKY ISSUE WILL BE SNOW LEVELS AND THE ASSOCIATED POTENTIAL FOR
ANY WINTER-TYPE NON-ROUTINE PRODUCTS. CURRENTLY...LOOKS LIKE SNOW
LEVELS SHOULD REMAINING AROUND 5500 FEET THROUGH TONIGHT...BEFORE
DROPPING TO AROUND 3500 FEET ON SUNDAY.
WILL TAKE A HARD LOOK AT
SNOW LEVELS AND POTENTIAL QPF AMOUNTS THIS MORNING...AND SAVE ANY
DECISION ON WINTER WEATHER PRODUCTS WITH THE AFTERNOON PACKAGE.
ALSO...THE SLIGHT CHANCE OF TSTMS STILL LOOKS GOOD FOR TONIGHT DUE
TO THE FRONTAL LIFT AND COLD AIR LOFT.
MUCH LIKE SNOW POTENTIAL
WILL TAKE A CLOSER LOOK AT TSTM POTENTIAL WITH THE AFTERNOON
PACKAGE.


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Re: SnoCal January - Its Snowtime

Postby Spirit Tree » Sat Jan 05, 2013 10:56 am

Thanks for startin' this Cheapski; December was a rushed blurr. Time to start fresh... :)

"with local totals up to three quarters of an
inch... especially in the mountains and foothills. Snow accumulations
of 3 to 6 inches are expected above 5000 feet... although some higher
totals are likely... particularly on northern slopes. Snow
accumulations of 1 to 3 inches are possible on the Grapevine and at
other elevations between 4000 and 5000 feet."

Hanford -
SATELLITE LOOPS SHOW THE EAST-PACIFIC TROUGH ALONG 133W EARLY THIS
MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED UPPER-LEVEL LOW HAS BECOME HIGHLY ELONGATED
AND THE VORTICITY AT THE BASE OF THE LOW COULD BECOME A SECONDARY
LOW IF THE SYSTEM SPLITS...AS THE MODELS PREDICT FOR THIS AFTERNOON.

FOLLOWING THE SPLIT...THE MODELS FORECAST THE SOUTHERN LOW TO DROP
SOUTH ALONG THE CALIFORNIA COAST...REACHING POINT CONCEPTION BY 12Z
/0400 PST/ SUNDAY. THE LOW THEN TURNS INLAND...WITH THE GFS TACKING
A MORE SOUTHERLY TRACK ACROSS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA THAN THE OTHER
MODELS WHICH TAKE THE LOW THROUGH KERN COUNTY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
Courage is the mastery of fear; not the absence of fear.
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Re: SnoCal January - Its Snowtime

Postby Snowave » Sat Jan 05, 2013 11:05 am

bleh... it's going to fizzle.
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Re: SnoCal January - Its Snowtime

Postby cheapski » Sat Jan 05, 2013 11:19 am

He's baaaaack!

A split system? Dont those usually not do well? But there is all that cold air behind the front that can be seen out over the water currently.
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Re: SnoCal January - Its Snowtime

Postby SurfnSnowboard » Sat Jan 05, 2013 3:50 pm

The qpf charts are looking pathetic. We have the cold air and low temps but the system just doesn't seem to have any moisture with it. I have a feeling that the highlights might end up being a bolt of lightning or two.
It has to snow again eventually...right???
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Re: SnoCal January - Its Snowtime

Postby Stephen » Sat Jan 05, 2013 4:36 pm

You're a bunch of cold fish. ... and probably right.
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Re: SnoCal January - Its Snowtime

Postby 2NAKLLR » Sat Jan 05, 2013 7:21 pm

It's cold.
I used to be with it, then they changed what it was. Now what I'm with, isn't it, and what's it seems weird and scary to me. It'll happen to yoooouuu.
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Re: SnoCal January - Its Snowtime

Postby Stephen » Sat Jan 05, 2013 7:40 pm

32 at Manzanita Mesa this morning. Same yesterday. More like Manzanita Flats. Kids excitedly picked the ice out of the bird bath.
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Re: SnoCal January - Its Snowtime

Postby cheapski » Sat Jan 05, 2013 9:26 pm

Dont paint me with your pessimism brush! The center seems to be tracking close to us so I think we'll get some good instability showers out of this.
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Re: SnoCal January - Its Snowtime

Postby 2NAKLLR » Sun Jan 06, 2013 1:42 pm

The coldfront/L seemed to rotate around Pt Conception and loose some steam. SB/Ventura look wet, the RADAR has been lit in SB county all morn. Only showery breezy HeRe.
Maybe it will refocus for the reSt of SoCal.
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Re: SnoCal January - Its Snowtime

Postby cheapski » Sun Jan 06, 2013 3:48 pm

Finally something interesting is happening. Its very dark, and light hail has started up here.
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Re: SnoCal January - Its Snowtime

Postby Snowave » Sun Jan 06, 2013 6:25 pm

Snowave wrote:bleh... it's going to fizzle.


:nod:
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Re: SnoCal January - Its Snowtime

Postby cheapski » Sun Jan 06, 2013 6:31 pm

According to radar the northerly flow is putting snow up on the north side of the Tehachapis.
4:16 PM 2 [5] 102-S2 ADVS UNITS HEADED TO THE SUMMIT IN MT PINOS AREA TO START CLEARING VEHS AND CLOSING SNOW GATES


And the San Gabriels?
3:17 PM 11 [11] 98-300 - MM37.74 TO RED BOX MT WILSON - HEAVY SNOW
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Re: SnoCal January - Its Snowtime

Postby SurfnSnowboard » Sun Jan 06, 2013 6:49 pm

Had a brief heavy downpour here in Mission Valley a while ago. Just one little cell passing over but it dropped a decent amount of rain in a short time. Mostly sunny today though after some early morning drizzle. Reports of rainbows across the county too.
It has to snow again eventually...right???
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Re: SnoCal January - Its Snowtime

Postby Snowave » Sun Jan 06, 2013 6:55 pm

cheapski wrote:According to radar the northerly flow is putting snow up on the north side of the Tehachapis.
4:16 PM 2 [5] 102-S2 ADVS UNITS HEADED TO THE SUMMIT IN MT PINOS AREA TO START CLEARING VEHS AND CLOSING SNOW GATES


And the San Gabriels?
3:17 PM 11 [11] 98-300 - MM37.74 TO RED BOX MT WILSON - HEAVY SNOW



yeah, I remember CHP's idea of heavy snow. ;)

How much snow did MH get? ;) Wasn't 3-6" forecasted?
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