November Stormssss

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November Stormssss

Postby TheSnowman » Tue Oct 23, 2012 6:54 pm

We could be looking at 3-6 inches of fresh on November 1st at the snow study site.... was chating with WG today....
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Re: November Stormssss

Postby M2M » Tue Oct 23, 2012 8:23 pm

TheSnowman wrote:We could be looking at 3-6 inches of fresh on November 1st at the snow study site.... was chating with WG today....


how about making that a few feet for and early opening please !
it rhymes with chowda
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Re: November Stormssss

Postby gboydston » Tue Oct 23, 2012 10:02 pm

Perfect for move-in day...
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Re: November Stormssss

Postby bombtripper » Thu Oct 25, 2012 9:13 am

Latest Euro control run has total accumulated precip up to mmsa opening day of half an inch for mammoth with much of it from the Halloween storm; it backs off with precip after that. Tahoe may get another foot with mammoth possibly half that. Latest GFS operational is the opposite with the Halloween storm not impacting that much but does bring in a November weekend system with very high snow level, it has total precip of .5.

So this interesting.....If the GFS pans out watch for rain up to 10K ft through the entire sierra region. Would suck to spend thousands on snow making only to have rain…

So we have again the battle of the two major models, which the GFS performed horribly in the last storm event.
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Re: November Stormssss

Postby 2NAKLLR » Thu Oct 25, 2012 9:15 am

Paul f'd it all up for the GFS in the South, for sure, so he might have skewed the whole model. GIGO.
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Re: November Stormssss

Postby SlashTurn » Thu Oct 25, 2012 10:31 am

EC seems to be the consistent one so far... I wouldn't put any stock in any model this time of year.
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Re: November Stormssss

Postby Photoho » Thu Oct 25, 2012 1:10 pm

^^^ Unless you are talking about the warm storms coming in over the outer Tyra Banks ;)
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Re: November Stormssss

Postby snowboard247 » Fri Oct 26, 2012 5:40 pm

pray for DUMPAGE!
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Re: November Stormssss

Postby TheSnowman » Sun Oct 28, 2012 9:41 am

November Stormssss is looking a bit dry at this point.
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Re: November Stormssss

Postby WeatherGuy » Tue Oct 30, 2012 8:01 am

Probably just a dusting and maybe an inch on Thursday now.
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Re: November Stormssss

Postby Photoho » Tue Oct 30, 2012 10:14 am

How about snowmaking weather in the near future ?
The low spinning just north looks like a decent storm for the PNW.
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Re: November Stormssss

Postby baiuse » Tue Oct 30, 2012 11:23 am

Photoho wrote:How about snowmaking weather in the near future ?
The low spinning just north looks like a decent storm for the PNW.


Unfortunately, it's rained on top of the snow pretty much melting everything except the highest peaks maybe. I don't mind it being 60 degrees all day and night though.
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Re: November Stormssss

Postby snowboard247 » Tue Oct 30, 2012 5:57 pm

From Mammothweather.com this morning.

Something to Watch:

Last night ECMWF model showed a pretty healthy storm moving into the high country about the 8th of November. It is in the outer reaches of its skill. (240HRS) Something just to watch and not to plan on yet! It paints over a foot of snowfall!

Additionally……the new 12z wrf has a little more precip for this Thursday for the high country. However, at that distance in time, it is much less reliable than the global models which are still pretty dry. The Dweebs do not like to use the WRF which is a higher res model beyond 24 to 36 hours. The 00Z ECMWF has a scanty .02 to .03 for the crest. Even if you doubled that it would be hard to get up to an inch over the crest.
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Re: November Stormssss

Postby PE395 » Tue Oct 30, 2012 8:21 pm

baiuse wrote:
Photoho wrote:How about snowmaking weather in the near future ?
The low spinning just north looks like a decent storm for the PNW.


Unfortunately, it's rained on top of the snow pretty much melting everything except the highest peaks maybe. I don't mind it being 60 degrees all day and night though.


Meaning in town and on the mountain?
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Re: November Stormssss

Postby Photoho » Tue Oct 30, 2012 8:50 pm

baiuse is in the PNW. I think he was referring to it raining up there.
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